Larry Sabato Moves Arizona from “Likely Republican” to “Leans Republican”

Things just keep on looking bleaker and bleaker for Republicans in Arizona. Yesterday, acclaimed political scientist Larry Sabato released his updated Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings, and in particular, he moved Arizona from “Likely Republican” to “Leans Republican.” This also comes on top of a poll released yesterday that showed Hillary Clinton leading over Donald Trump by four points.

“We’re absolutely thrilled,” said Arizona Democratic Party Executive Director Sheila Healy. “The fact of the matter is that Donald Trump’s divisive and dangerous policies are not resonating with the people of Arizona. But we’re not going to take anything for granted – not one bit. We’re going to continue working hard day-in and day-out to make sure that we elect Democrats up-and-down the ballot in November. Simply put, the stakes are far too high for us to elect Republicans like Donald Trump and John McCain, both of whom would drag our country back to the days when a Republican president was in office and we were losing up to 800,000 jobs a month.”

See Sabato’s updated Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings below:


Table 1: Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings changes